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brazil

14 MARKETS

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

Multi
50+ bps increase
2%
25 bps increase
4%
+3 more

Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?

5%chance

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

Multi
<3.00%
0%
3.00-3.49%
0%
+8 more

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

Multi
50+ bps increase
13%
25 bps increase
7%
+3 more

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

8%chance

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?

11%chance

Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?

↑7.25
15%
↑7
9%
+10 more

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Multi
Ruas 20%+
6%
Ruas 15-20%
4%
+5 more

Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?

18%chance

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

June 30
0%
September 30
0%
+2 more

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

3%chance

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Multi
<-0.3%
22%
-0.3% to -0.1%
46%
+5 more

Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?

Multi
Under 5%
38%
5% to 19.99%
26%
+3 more

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

31%chance
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