economic policy
16 MARKETS
Fed Decision in October?
Multi50+ bps decrease
0%
25 bps decrease
0%
+3 more
Fed Decision in December?
Multi50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
+3 more
Fed Decision in January?
Multi50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
+3 more
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
Multi50+ bps decrease
0%
25 bps decrease
0%
+3 more
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
MultiHike–Pause–Hike
75%
Hike–Pause–Pause
21%
+7 more
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
MultiHike-Pause-Hike
1%
Hike-Pause-Pause
1%
+7 more
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
Multi50+ bps decrease
0%
25 bps decrease
0%
+3 more
Bank of Japan Decision in December?
Multi50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
+3 more
US recession by end of 2026?
8%chance
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
Multi50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
2%
+3 more
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Multi2.25%
0%
2.5%
0%
+13 more
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 5.0%
3%
↑ 5.5%
2%
+19 more
Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
Multi<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
3%
+5 more
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Multi<0.5%
0%
0.5–1.0%
0%
+5 more
Swiss National Bank decision in December?
Multi50+ bps increase
0%
25 bps increase
15%
+3 more
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
100%chance